Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.011490 0.013927 0.016977 0.021162 0.026896 0.034710 0.046597
2025-03-02 0.008161 0.010739 0.014380 0.020156 0.029642 0.045821 0.078962
2025-03-09 0.006573 0.009104 0.012966 0.019731 0.032433 0.058451 0.129004
2025-03-16 0.005714 0.008243 0.012355 0.020196 0.036818 0.077663 0.230670
2025-03-23 0.005034 0.007491 0.011686 0.020250 0.040379 0.098900 0.410693
2025-03-30 0.004395 0.006681 0.010718 0.019371 0.041339 0.114440 0.658425
2025-04-06 0.003942 0.006109 0.010059 0.018927 0.043210 0.136326 1.191793
2025-04-13 0.003673 0.005817 0.009866 0.019455 0.048222 0.180895 3.253596
2025-04-20 0.003525 0.005719 0.010030 0.020889 0.057273 0.272327 24.788748
2025-04-27 0.003349 0.005539 0.009987 0.021791 0.065422 0.395934 23711.321819
2025-05-04 0.003129 0.005248 0.009651 0.021790 0.070136 0.522107 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002937 0.004987 0.009341 0.021776 0.075009 0.698447 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002724 0.004687 0.008953 0.021620 0.080465 0.999862 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002484 0.004311 0.008337 0.020596 0.080726 1.245835 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002306 0.004042 0.007936 0.020160 0.084361 1.772595 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002193 0.003897 0.007813 0.020638 0.095063 3.444505 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002073 0.003724 0.007590 0.020694 0.103360 6.720743 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001928 0.003480 0.007148 0.019789 0.102922 9.550577 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001814 0.003297 0.006842 0.019331 0.106225 17.680491 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001748 0.003214 0.006789 0.019876 0.120706 101.651354 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001718 0.003206 0.006940 0.021352 0.150500 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001670 0.003154 0.006959 0.022282 0.178494 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001600 0.003042 0.006790 0.022281 0.193850 NaN NaN